How Did The Housing Experts Fare On Their Home Prices and Mortgage Rate Predictions?

Housing and mortgage rate forecastsAs 2009 was ending, the “experts” in California were busy making forecasts about the U.S. economy and what to expect in 2010.

With respect to the housing markets, two predictions were made again and again:

  1. Home prices would fall in the first half of 2010
  2. Mortgage rates would be higher in 2010

Well, it’s July 1 and the year is half-over.  Both predictions are proving to be incorrect. Home values are rising in most markets and mortgage rates are down, Way down.

It reminds us that economists are much more skilled with analysis of the past versus predictions of the future.

A pile of data can only get you so far.

Analyzing Inland Empire housing market predictions like watching a local weather forecast. A meteorologist can look at the radar and tell you that rain is coming, but it’s never with 100% certainty.  There is always a chance of change.

The housing market is the same way.  Just as the U.S. economy is unpredictable, so are housing prices, and so are mortgage rates.

Therefore, when you have a personal finance decision to make, evaluate your options based on the information at hand today rather than an educated guess about the future. The future, after all, is subject to change — despite what the experts forecast.  If you would like to consider your home loan options for an upcoming purchase, refinancne, or just want to compare the benefits of a short sale or loan modification,  call me and I’ll get you information you can count on.  Brad Yzermans (951) 215-6119.

, , ,

No comments yet.

Leave a Reply

(Spamcheck Enabled)