What’s Ahead For California Mortgage Rates: July 18, 2011

Greece roiling mortgage marketsMortgage rates in Temecula, Murrieta, Menifee, Corona, Riverside and Moreno Valley area of California’s Inland Empire worsened last week as concerns for the global economy drove investors to “safe haven” buying. Fear continues to dominate mortgage bond market movement.  Home buyers who work with a mortgage lender who tracks the real time bond market on a daily basis should be able to lock in an interest rate that will help keep their mortgage payment low.

Conforming and FHA mortgage rates fell for the second straight week last week as a result of the fear on Wall Street, and closed out Friday with favorable momentum to the downside.

FHA mortgage rates are lower than conventional mortgage rates right now.

The three primary influencers in mortgage rates were.

1. The first is tied to the Eurozone.

Although the Greek Parliament reached agreement on austerity measures for the nation-state two weeks ago, concerns that a debt crisis could spill into Italy, Portugal, Ireland, and/or Spain resurfaced last week. The debt of both Ireland and Portugal was downgraded to Junk status, and Italy and Spain may follow soon.

U.S. bond markets gained on the news.

2. The second story was the just-released Fed Minutes. Notes from the FOMC meeting showed that Ben Bernanke & Co. debated a slowing U.S. economy, the weakening domestic jobs market, and whether a third round of economic stimulus would be necessary. This, too, dragged mortgage rates lower.

3. The third story is one that’s still forming — the U.S. Debt Ceiling Debate. For now, the issue remains on the market periphery, but as the August 2 debt limit deadline nears, expect more influence over day-to-day mortgage rates.

Other factors in mortgage rates this week include the Existing Home Sales report; Housing Starts data; Homebuilder Confidence Survey; and, Jobless Claims.

Mortgage rates are low but remain volatile. If you’re wondering whether now is a good time to lock your rate, consider that it’s better to be safe than sorry. If mortgage rates rise this week, the rise may be permanent.

Rates can only stay low for so long.  I know, we mortgage people have been saying that for years…..

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