Pending Home Sales Data Shows Prices are Going Up and Great Deals May Be Harder to Find

Pending Home Sales Oct 2008 to April 2010The Pending Home Sales Index shot higher in April as low mortgage rates and a soon-to-expire federal tax credit spurred home buying in the entire Inland Empiure regon consisting of Riverside, Corona, Chino Hills, Ontario, Temecula/Murrieta, San Bernardino, Rancho Cucamonga, Redlands, and many other great cities.

A “pending home sale” is a home that’s under contract to sell but not yet closed.

Region-by-region, April’s pending home sales varied versus March’s data:

  • Northeast Region: +29.5%
  • Midwest Region : +4.1%
  • South Region : -0.6% (after a +15.9% posting in March)
  • West Region : +7.5%

On an annual basis, the Pending Home Sales Index is higher by 22 percent.

April marks the third straight month that pending home sales are up and today’s buyers should take note. This is because, according to the National Association of Realtors®, 80% of homes under contract close within 60 days.

In other words, May and June’s existing home sales data should be similarly strong, causing the Riverside and San Bernardino County’s real estate market to gently shift in favor of sellers.  In fact, already, we’re seeing home resales touch multi-year highs while new home supplies fall to multi-year lows.

All of it tends to push home prices higher while simultaneously reducing buyer negotiation leverage. That, coupled with the high probability of higher mortgage rates ahead, means that finding “deals” will get tougher for the average home buyer.

In looking at the housing market data, it appears that the best month in which to have bought a home this year was February.  The next best time may be right now.

Talk to your local real estate agent if you’re planning to buy a home this year.  It may be sensible to move your time frame up a few months.  I work with some of the best agents around and can persoanlly attest to their abilities.  If you would like a referral, please feel free to contact me.


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